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March 2026 Market Update

March 2026 Market Update

March 2026 Market Update

Inventory Expansion Without Demand 

Supply is rising while demand is flat. We are no longer operating in a scarcity-driven pricing environment. This is a positive development for Buyers and smart Sellers.

Lower Interest Rates

Interest rates have lowered (30-year rate: 6.1% down from 6.8%), and when combined with the market-adjusted price, this has resulted result in a 14% decrease in median principal and interest.

This marks a healthy normalization, not distress. 

Headlines will focus on the 7% year-over-year decline in median price, but that framing misses the larger story. The February 2026 median ($1,566,782) represents the strongest pricing since early fall and comes after a period of inventory expansion and payment-driven adjustment. 

Right Pricing Improves Sale Time

More than half of inventory sells in less 15 days at 100% of list price. A smaller portion sits 90+ days and receives around 91% of original list price. 

There are effectively two markets: 

  1. Properly priced, presentation-ready inventory → immediate sale. 
  2. Overpriced inventory → extended time on the market and measurable concessions. 

The spread between original list price and eventual close widens dramatically after 30 days on the market. 

This is no longer a velocity market. It’s a skill market. Execution now matters more than momentum. 

As supply is expanding, demand is steady but selective. Strategic pricing wins, while aspirational pricing lingers. 

Right Pricing is key to a strategic home sale. You can read more about Right Pricing here. To learn more about how to price your house, contact Katherine Vincent today.

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